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IN-HOUSE BACKTEST • REBUILT SEP 2026

AEGIS Dual-Quant Models
Historical Simulation 2020–2026

Rebuilt in September 2026 on Bitget BTCUSDT perpetual public data (1H and 4H bars, 2020 to 2026) with an engine that reproduces our TradingView strategy trade for trade, to the cent. Signal parameters have been fixed since 2025. The money-management rules were chosen in September 2026 with both periods in view, so 2026 is reported as measured performance, not as an unseen test. Fees of 0.06% per side are deducted.

DUAL MODEL SPECIFICATIONS TRADINGVIEW-MATCHED ENGINE

Multi-Period Performance Matrix

Accounts: 1H $4,800 (60%) + 4H $3,200 (40%) = $8,000 • Risk Management: Proprietary Dynamic Scale & Multi-Tier Circuit Breakers • Fee: 0.06% per side

[Period 1] 2020.01 – 2025.12 (6.0 Yrs) [Period 2] 2026.01.01 – 2026.09.25 (8.8 Mos)
Model [Period 1] Return
2020–2025		 [Period 1]
Max DD / Trades		 [Period 1]
Win Rate / PF		 [Period 2] Return
2026 year to date		 [Period 2]
Max DD / Trades		 [Period 2]
Win Rate / PF
[1] AEGIS Tactical Trend Model (1H)
AEGIS_TACTICAL_1H ($4,800)
Follows bitcoin trends on the 1-hour chart
+1,500.31%
$4,800 → $76,815.05
-22.75%
368 trades
36.68%
PF 1.37
+235.83%
$4,800 → $16,119.70
-16.94%
39 trades
48.72%
PF 2.62
[2] AEGIS Strategic Trend Model (4H)
AEGIS_STRATEGIC_4H ($3,200)
Follows bitcoin trends on the 4-hour chart
+1,770.15%
$3,200 → $59,844.87
-21.00%
184 trades
39.67%
PF 1.68
+26.02%
$3,200 → $4,032.48
-19.38%
25 trades
44.00%
PF 1.36
[★] AEGIS Dual-Horizon Portfolio (60/40)
AEGIS_DUAL_HORIZON ($4,800 + $3,200 = $8,000)
Both models run side by side: 60% 1-hour, 40% 4-hour
+1,608.25%
$8,000 → $136,659.92
-17.40%
552 trades
37.68%
PF 1.47
+151.90%
$8,000 → $20,152.18
-16.30%
64 trades
46.88%
PF 2.31
Max drawdown is measured on closed trades; drawdown while a position is open can be deeper.
The blend is two separate accounts run side by side; its drawdown is lower than either model because their losing stretches did not fully overlap.
Single entry at a time (no pyramiding). Our live accounts started at different sizes and dates, so their results differ from this table.

Core Institutional Risk Management Framework

📉 Sliding Risk Scale

Systematic dynamic risk scaling calibrated to account growth, preventing geometric drawdown and preserving compounding efficiency.

🛡️ Losing-Streak Breaker

Automated multi-tier risk dampening deployed upon consecutive market friction, insulating capital during choppy regimes.

🔒 Account Drawdown Brake

Automatically reduces exposure while the account is in a drawdown.

Read Today's Briefing

Treasury yields, ETF flows, options structure and the live status of both AEGIS models, every US market close.

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